Aerial Experimental Remote sensing of Ocean Salinity, heaT, Advection and Thermohaline Shifts

Rapid melting of Arctic sea ice and Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) causes significant freshwater input to the North Atlantic (NA), with the potential to shutdown upper ocean convection in the NA Subpolar Gyre (SPG). The influx of fresh water makes surface waters lighter and harder to mix into the deep ocean, thus impacting convection. Shutdown of convection has grave consequences, including harmful impacts on marine ecosystems, changes in ocean circulation and feedbacks to the atmosphere that drastically alter European weather patterns and extremes. Processes affecting freshwater and heat transport leading to a potential ocean convection collapse in the SPG involve: atmosphere-ocean-ice interactions, including extreme ocean surface fresh water and heat fluxes; cross-shelf and within fjord advection of Atlantic warm water and the mixing by ocean eddies of fresh coastal boundary current water into the SPG interior. Such processes challenge the resolution limits of CMIP climate models and are beyond the reach of today’s observational capability.

 

Principal Investigator

Christine Gommenginger, National Oceanography Centre 

Dates

April 2025 – March 2027

Funding

 ARIA

 

Aim

Aim

AEROSTATS seeks to address key observational gaps by delivering new datasets of Essential Climate Variables—including total surface current vectors, surface winds, ocean colour, sea surface temperature and salinity—for year-round monitoring of processes at sub-daily, sub-kilometre scales. These data will help to resolve unanswered questions about how ocean processes in the GIS/SPG region control the amount and rate at which the additional freshwater is supplied to the NA, and how this impacts convection.

NOC is the lead partner in this project, funded by ARIA.

The project also includes 3 other companies:

Radarmetrics, Noveltis, Pixalytics

The Project Aiming to Monitor Greenland Sea Ice Margins by Using Airborne Methods

Meet the team

External team Members

Sam Lavender - Pixalytics

Adrien Martin - Noveltis

Jose Marquez Martinez - Radarmetrics

Publications

An Early Warning System for Tipping Points in the Greenland Ice Sheet and the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre: Exploring the Edge of the Possible with AEROSTATS.

Authors

Gommenginger, Christine ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6941-1671; McCann, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4428-700X; Martin, Adrien C.H.; Marquez Martinez, José; Lavender, Sam; Buckingham, Christian; Marzocchi, Alice ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3430-3574; Clément, Louis ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6935-9455; Josey, Simon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831. 2025 An Early Warning System for Tipping Points in the Greenland Ice Sheet and the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre: Exploring the Edge of the Possible with AEROSTATS. [Other] In: ESA Living Planet Symposium 2025, Vienna, Austria, 23 - 27 June 2025. (Unpublished)

Publication year

2025

Publication type

Conference item