Dr Ekaterina Popova

Marine Systems Modelling
+44 (0)23 8059 6346

I am a global ocean modeller with 30+ peer-reviewed publications in the area of modelling biophysical interactions. I lead the ocean biogeochemistry modelling sub-group.

My main area of expertise is in the impact of climate change on ocean dynamics and ecosystems.
I am particularly interested in the Arctic Ocean and its transition to the seasonally ice-free state under continuous global warming.

As well as my scientific research, I am interested in policy and industry uptake of global high resolution modelling in the following areas:

-    Impact of climate change on living marine resources
-    Environmental risk assessment of potential oil spills
-    Navigability of the Arctic sea routes
-    Risk of oil spills in Arctic from increased exploration and transportation
-    Adaptation to climate change in communities dependent on living marine resources
-    Ocean geoengineering



Holt, Jason; Hyder, Pat; Ashworth, Mike; Harle, James; Hewitt, Helene T.; Liu, Hedong; New, Adrian L.; Pickles, Stephen; Popova, Ekaterina; Allen, J. Icarus; Siddorn, John; Wood, Richard. 2017 Prospects for improving the representation of coastal and shelf seas in global ocean models. Geoscientific Model Development, 10. 499-523.10.5194/gmd-10-499-2017
Aksenov, Yevgeny; Popova, Ekaterina; Yool, Andrew; Nurser, A.J. George. 2017 On the future navigability of Arctic sea routes: high-resolution projections of the Arctic Ocean and sea ice decline. Marine Policy, 75. 300-317.10.1016/j.marpol.2015.12.027
Main, C.E.; Yool, A.; Holliday, N.P.; Popova, E.E.; Jones, D.O.B.; Ruhl, H.A.. 2017 Simulating pathways of subsurface oil in the Faroe–Shetland Channel using an ocean general circulation model. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 114 (1). 315-326.10.1016/j.marpolbul.2016.09.041
van Gennip, S.J.; Popova, E.E.; Yool, A.; Pecl, G.T.; Hobday, A.J.; Sorte, C.J.B.. 2016 Going with the flow: The role of ocean circulation in global marine ecosystems under a changing climate. Global Change Biology. 10.1111/gcb.13586 (In Press)
Lee, Younjoo J.; Matrai, Patricia A.; Friedrichs, Marjorie A. M.; Saba, Vincent S.; Aumont, Olivier; Babin, Marcel; Buitenhuis, Erik T.; Chevallier, Matthieu; de Mora, Lee; Dessert, Morgane; Dunne, John P.; Ellingsen, Ingrid H.; Feldman, Doron; Frouin, Robert; Gehlen, Marion; Gorgues, Thomas; Ilyina, Tatiana; Jin, Meibing; John, Jasmin G.; Lawrence, Jon; Manizza, Manfredi; Menkes, Christophe E.; Perruche, Coralie; Le Fouest, Vincent; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Romanou, Anastasia; Samuelsen, Annette; Schwinger, Jörg; Séférian, Roland; Stock, Charles A.; Tjiputra, Jerry; Tremblay, L. Bruno; Ueyoshi, Kyozo; Vichi, Marcello; Yool, Andrew; Zhang, Jinlun. 2016 Net primary productivity estimates and environmental variables in the Arctic Ocean: An assessment of coupled physical-biogeochemical models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (12). 8635-8669.10.1002/2016JC011993
Popova, E.; Yool, A.; Byfield, V.; Cochrane, K.; Coward, A.C.; Salim, S.S.; Gasalla, M.A.; Henson, S.A.; Hobday, A.J.; Pecl, G.; Sauer, W.; Roberts, M.. 2016 From global to regional and back again: common climate stressors of marine ecosystems relevant for adaptation across five ocean warming hotspots. Global Change Biology, 22 (6). 2038-2053.10.1111/gcb.13247
Jin, Meibing; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Zhang, Jinlun; Ji, Rubao; Pendleton, Daniel; Varpe, Øystein; Yool, Andrew; Lee, Younjoo J.. 2016 Ecosystem model intercomparison of under-ice and total primary production in the Arctic Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (1). 934-948.10.1002/2015JC011183
Robinson, J.; Popova, E.E.; Srokosz, M.; Yool, A.. 2016 A tale of three islands: Downstream natural iron fertilization in the Southern Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (5). 3350-3371.10.1002/2015JC011319
Steiner, N.S.; Sou, T.; Deal, C.; Jackson, J.M.; Jin, M.; Popova, E.; Williams, W.; Yool, A.. 2016 The future of the subsurface chlorophyll-a maximum in the Canada Basin-A model intercomparison. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (1). 387-409.10.1002/2015JC011232
Srokosz, M.A.; Robinson, J.; McGrain, H.; Popova, E.E.; Yool, A.. 2015 Could the Madagascar bloom be fertilized by Madagascan iron? Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120 (8). 5790-5803.10.1002/2015JC011075
Hyder, Kieran; Rossberg, Axel G.; Allen, J. Icarus; Austen, Melanie C.; Barciela, Rosa M.; Bannister, Hayley J.; Blackwell, Paul G.; Blanchard, Julia L.; Burrows, Michael T.; Defriez, Emma; Dorrington, Tarquin; Edwards, Karen P.; Garcia-Carreras, Bernardo; Heath, Michael R.; Hembury, Deborah J.; Heymans, Johanna J.; Holt, Jason; Houle, Jennifer E.; Jennings, Simon; Mackinson, Steve; Malcolm, Stephen J.; McPike, Ruaraidh; Mee, Laurence; Mills, David K.; Montgomery, Caron; Pearson, Dean; Pinnegar, John K.; Pollicino, Marilena; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Rae, Louise; Rogers, Stuart I.; Speirs, Douglas; Spence, Michael A.; Thorpe, Robert; Turner, R. Kerry; van der Molen, Johan; Yool, Andrew; Paterson, David M.. 2015 Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management. Marine Policy, 61. 291-302.10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015
Wassmann, P.; Kosobokova, K.N.; Slagstad, D.; Drinkwater, K.F.; Hopcroft, R.R.; Moore, S.E.; Ellingsen, I.; Nelson, R.J.; Carmack, E.; Popova, E.; Berge, J.. 2015 The contiguous domains of Arctic Ocean advection: Trails of life and death. Progress in Oceanography, 139. 42-65.10.1016/j.pocean.2015.06.011
Yool, A.; Popova, E.E.; Coward, A.C.. 2015 Future change in ocean productivity: is the Arctic the new Atlantic? Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120 (12). 10.1002/2015JC011167
Lawrence, J.; Popova, E.; Yool, A.; Srokosz, M.. 2015 On the vertical phytoplankton response to an ice free Arctic Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120 (12). 8571-8582.10.1002/2015JC011180
Hill, J.; Popova, E.E.; Ham, D.A.; Piggott, M.D.; Srokosz, M.. 2014 Adapting to life: ocean biogeochemical modelling and adaptive remeshing. Ocean Science, 10 (3). 323-343.10.5194/os-10-323-2014
Popova, E.E.; Yool, A.; Aksenov, Y; Coward, A.C.; Anderson, T.R.. 2014 Regional variability of acidification in the Arctic: a sea of contrasts. Biogeosciences, 11 (2). 293-308.10.5194/bg-11-293-2014
Robinson, J.; Popova, E.E.; Yool, A.; Srokosz, M.; Lampitt, R.S.; Blundell, J.R.. 2014 How deep is deep enough? Ocean iron fertilization and carbon sequestration in the Southern Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (7). 2489-2495.10.1002/2013GL058799
Forryan, Alexander; Martin, Adrian P.; Srokosz, Meric A.; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Painter, Stuart C.; Renner, Angelika H. H.. 2013 A new observationally motivated Richardson number based mixing parametrization for oceanic mesoscale flow. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (3). 1405-1419.10.1002/jgrc.20108
Popova, E.E.; Yool, A.; Aksenov, Y.; Coward, A.C.. 2013 Role of advection in Arctic Ocean lower trophic dynamics: a modelling perspective. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118 (3). 1571-1586.10.1002/jgrc.20126
Yool, A.; Popova, E.E.; Coward, A.C.; Bernie, D.; Anderson, T.R.. 2013 Climate change and ocean acidification impacts on lower trophic levels and the export of organic carbon to the deep ocean. Biogeosciences, 10 (9). 5831-5854.10.5194/bg-10-5831-2013
Popova, Ekaterina E.; Yool, Andrew; Coward, Andrew C.; Dupont, Frederic; Deal, Clara; Elliott, Scott; Hunke, Elizabeth; Jin, Meibing; Steele, Mike; Zhang, Jinlun. 2012 What controls primary production in the Arctic Ocean? Results from an intercomparison of five general circulation models with biogeochemistry. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. C00D12.10.1029/2011JC007112
Forryan, A.; Martin, A.P.; Srokosz, M.A.; Popova, E.E.; Painter, S.C.; Stinchcombe, M.C.. 2012 Turbulent nutrient fluxes in the Iceland Basin. Deep Sea Research Part I Oceanographic Research Papers, 63. 20-35.10.1016/j.dsr.2011.12.006
Hill, Jon; Piggott, M.D.; Ham, David A.; Popova, E.E.; Srokosz, M.A.. 2012 On the performance of a generic length scale turbulence model within an adaptive finite element ocean model. Ocean Modelling, 56. 1-15.10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.07.003
Perrette, M.; Yool, A.; Quartly, G.D.; Popova, E.E.. 2011 Near-ubiquity of ice-edge blooms in the Arctic. Biogeosciences, 8 (2). 515-524.10.5194/bg-8-515-2011
Proshutinsky, Andrey; Aksenov, Yevgeny; Clement Kinney, Jaclyn; Gerdes, Rüdiger; Golubeva, Elena; Holland, David; Holloway, Greg; Jahn, Alexandra; Johnson, Mark; Popova, Ekaterina; Steele, Mike; Watanabe, Eiji. 2011 Recent Advances in Arctic Ocean Studies Employing Models from the Arctic Ocean Model Intercomparison Project. Oceanography, 24 (3). 102-113.10.5670/oceanog.2011.61
Yool, A.; Popova, E.E.; Anderson, T.R.. 2011 Medusa-1.0: a new intermediate complexity plankton ecosystem model for the global domain. Geoscientific Model Development, 4 (2). 381-417.10.5194/gmd-4-381-2011
Popova, E.E.; Yool, A.; Coward, A.C.; Aksenov, Y.K.; Alderson, S.G.; de Cuevas, B.A.; Anderson, T.R.. 2010 Control of primary production in the Arctic by nutrients and light: insights from a high resolution ocean general circulation model. Biogeosciences, 7 (11). 3569-3591.10.5194/bg-7-3569-2010
Popova, E.E.; Srokosz, M.A.. 2009 Modelling the ecosystem dynamics at the Iceland-Faeroes Front: biophysical interactions. Journal of Marine Systems, 77 (1-2). 182-196.10.1016/j.jmarsys.2008.12.005
Pollard, Raymond T.; Salter, Ian; Sanders, Richard J.; Lucas, Mike I.; Moore, C. Mark; Mills, Rachel A.; Statham, Peter J.; Allen, John T.; Baker, Alex R.; Bakker, Dorothee C.E.; Charette, Matthew A.; Fielding, Sophie; Fones, Gary R.; French, Megan; Hickman, Anna E.; Holland, Ross J.; Hughes, J. Alan; Jickells, Timothy D.; Lampitt, Richard S.; Morris, Paul J.; Nédélec, Florence H.; Nielsdóttir, Maria; Planquette, Hélène; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Poulton, Alex J.; Read, Jane F.; Seeyave, Sophie; Smith, Tania; Stinchcombe, Mark; Taylor, Sarah; Thomalla, Sandy; Venables, Hugh J.; Williamson, Robert; Zubkov, Mike V.. 2009 Southern Ocean deep-water carbon export enhanced by natural iron fertilization. Nature, 457 (7229). 577-580.10.1038/nature07716
Lampitt, R.S.; Achterberg, E.P.; Anderson, T.R.; Hughes, J.A.; Iglesias-Rodriguez, M.D.; Kelly-Gerreyn, B.A.; Lucas, M.; Popova, E.E.; Sanders, R.; Shepherd, J.G.; Smythe-Wright, D.; Yool, A.. 2008 Ocean fertilization: a potential means of geoengineering? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A, 366 (1882). 3919-3945.10.1098/rsta.2008.0139
Popova, E.E.; Pollard, R.T.; Lucas, M.I.; Venables, H.J.; Anderson, T.R.. 2007 Real-time forecasting of ecosystem dynamics during the CROZEX experiment and the roles of light, iron, silicate, and circulation. Deep-Sea Research II, 54 (18-20). 1966-1988.10.1016/j.dsr2.2007.06.018
Popova, E.E.; Coward, A.C.; Nurser, G.A.; de Cuevas, B.; Anderson, T.R.. 2006 Mechanisms controlling primary and new production in a global ecosystem model Part II: The role of the upper ocean short-term periodic and episodic mixing events. Ocean Science, 2 (2). 267-279.
Popova, E.E.; Coward, A.C.; Nurser, G.A.; de Cuevas, B.; Fasham, M.J.R.; Anderson, T.R.. 2006 Mechanisms controlling primary and new production in a global ecosystem model Part I: Validation of the biological simulation. Ocean Science, 2 (2). 249-266.
Rixen, M.; Allen, J.T.; Alderson, S.; Cornell, V.; Crisp, N.; Fielding, S.; Mustard, A.T.; Pollard, R.T.; Popova, E.E.; Smeed, D.A.; Srokosz, M.A.; Barth, A.; Beckers, J-M,. 2003 Along or across front survey strategy? An operational example at an unstable front. Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (1). 1017-[17pp].10.1029/2002GL015341
Sanders, R.; Lampitt, R.; Boorman, B.; Brown, L.; Guyard, P.; Leaute, G.; Popova, E.; Saw, K.; Turnewitsch, R.; Zubkov, M.. 2003 Particle export in the North Atlantic: an integrated attack using production rates, tracres and a novel drifting sediment trap (abstract of paper to be presented at: AGU Ocean Sciences Meeting, 26-30 January 2004, Portland, Oregon). EOS: Transactions American Geophysical Union, 84 (52, Supplement). OS114.
Lampitt, Richard S.; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Tyrrell, Toby. 2003 Biogeochemical evidence of vigorous mixing in the abyssal ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (9). 1459-1462.10.1029/2002GL016638
Popova, E.E.; Srokosz, M.A.; Smeed, D.A.. 2002 Real-time forecasting of biological and physical dynamics at the Iceland-Faeroes Front in June 2001. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (4). 1055.10.1029/2001GL013706
Lampitt, R.S.; Popova, E.E.. 2002 Temporal variability of upper ocean biology in the northeast Atlantic and the link to deep water particle flux. EOS: Transactions American Geophysical Union, 83 (4 Supplement). p.OS122.
Popova, E.E.; Lozano, C.J.; Srokosz, M.A.; Fasham, M.J.R.; Haley, P.J.; Robinson, A.R.. 2002 Coupled 3D physical and biological modelling of the mesoscale variability observed in north-east Atlantic in spring 1997: biological processes. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 49 (10). 1741-1768.10.1016/S0967-0637(02)00091-2
Lampitt, R.S.; Bett, B.J.; Kiriakoulakis, K.; Popova, E.E.; Ragueneau, O.; Vangriesheim, A.; Wolff, G.A.. 2001 Material supply to the abyssal seafloor in the northeast Atlantic. Progress in Oceanography, 50 (1-4). 27-63.10.1016/S0079-6611(01)00047-7
Popova, E.E.; Ryabchenko, V.A.; Fasham, M.J.R.. 2000 Biological pump and vertical mixing in the Southern Ocean: their impact on atmospheric CO2. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 14 (1). 477-498.

Book section

Lampitt, R.S.; Achterberg, E.P.; Anderson, T.R.; Hughes, J.A.; Iglesias-Rodriguez, M.D.; Kelly-Gerreyn, B.A.; Lucas, M.; Popova, E.E.; Sanders, R.; Shepherd, J.G.; Smythe-Wright, D.; Yool, A.. 2010 Ocean fertilisation: a potential means of geo-engineering? In: Thompson, J. Michael T.; Launder, Brian, (eds.)Geo-Engineering Climate Change: Environmental Necessity or Pandora's Box? Cambridge, University of Cambridge, 149-180, 332pp.
Perrette, Mahe; Quartly, Graham D.; Popova, Ekaterina E.; Yool, Andrew. 2010 Pan-Arctic view of ice-edge phytoplankton blooms. In:ESA Living Planet Symposium, Bergen, 28th Jun-2nd July 2010. Noordwijkerhout, European Space Agency, 5pp. (ESA Publication SP-686).